{"id":9447,"date":"2005-09-13T12:45:59","date_gmt":"2005-09-13T09:45:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/2005\/09\/13\/irony-in-science-or-a-bad-example-of-post-hoc\/"},"modified":"2005-09-13T12:45:59","modified_gmt":"2005-09-13T09:45:59","slug":"irony-in-science-or-a-bad-example-of-post-hoc","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/2005\/09\/13\/irony-in-science-or-a-bad-example-of-post-hoc\/","title":{"rendered":"Irony in science or a bad example of Post Hoc"},"content":{"rendered":"<!-- google_ad_section_start -->\n<p>While reading through <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nizkor.org\/features\/fallacies\/\">this excellent website<\/a> I came across <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nizkor.org\/features\/fallacies\/post-hoc.html\">an article about Post Hoc<\/a> logical fallacy.  To freshen your memory, this article describes Post Hoc fallacy as follows:<\/p>\n<blockquote cite=\"http:\/\/www.nizkor.org\/features\/fallacies\/post-hoc.html\"><p>A Post Hoc is a fallacy with the following form:<\/p>\n<p>   1. A occurs before B.<br \/>\n   2. Therefore A is the cause of B.\n<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>There are also a few examples that help to understand this fallacy.  Among these examples there is this one:<\/p>\n<blockquote cite=\"http:\/\/www.nizkor.org\/features\/fallacies\/post-hoc.html\"><p>Bill purchases a new PowerMac and it works fine for months. He then buys and installs a new piece of software. The next time he starts up his Mac, it freezes. Bill concludes that the software must be the cause of the freeze.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>I couldn&#8217;t help the smile.  In the scope of logic as a science this example perfectly illustrates the point.  But in the scope of computer science this quote would be a good example of the opposite.  In other words, if you computer worked fine for months and than you installed a new piece of software on it, and it started to freeze &#8211; chances are that the software is the cause of problem.<\/p>\n<p>Ironical, isn&#8217;t it?<\/p>\n<!-- google_ad_section_end -->\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<!-- google_ad_section_start -->\n<p>While reading through this excellent website I came across an article about Post Hoc logical fallacy. To freshen your memory, this article describes Post Hoc fallacy as follows: A Post Hoc is a fallacy with the following form: 1. A occurs before B. 2. Therefore A is the cause of B. There are also a &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/2005\/09\/13\/irony-in-science-or-a-bad-example-of-post-hoc\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Irony in science or a bad example of Post Hoc<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<!-- google_ad_section_end -->\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[1,2,62],"tags":[478,655,2416],"keyring_services":[],"class_list":["post-9447","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-general","category-personal","category-technology","tag-logic","tag-science","tag-thoughts"],"aioseo_notices":[],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":28308,"url":"https:\/\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/2018\/01\/09\/mental-models\/","url_meta":{"origin":9447,"position":0},"title":"Mental models","author":"Leonid Mamchenkov","date":"January 9, 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"Here's a nice collection of mental models: These are some mental models I find useful. They\u2019re rooted in decades of experience of thousands of experts \u2013 a modern equivalent of folk wisdom. Mental models are useful to quickly and correctly reason about seemingly intractable problems. They require quite a bit\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;All&quot;","block_context":{"text":"All","link":"https:\/\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/category\/general\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":10403,"url":"https:\/\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/2006\/08\/22\/daily-del-icio-us-bookmarks\/","url_meta":{"origin":9447,"position":1},"title":"Daily del.icio.us bookmarks","author":"Leonid Mamchenkov","date":"August 22, 2006","format":false,"excerpt":"Shared bookmarks for del.icio.us user tvset on 2006-08-21 Spetsnaz Vympel - Google Video -- Nice documentary about special forces in Soviet Union. Tagged as: military terrorism video google documentation documentary film russia Web 2.0 meme map Tagged as: web2.0 technology web webservices ideas software Stevey's Blog Rants: Blog Or Get\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;All&quot;","block_context":{"text":"All","link":"https:\/\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/category\/general\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":25118,"url":"https:\/\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/2016\/01\/11\/computer-science-from-the-bottom-up\/","url_meta":{"origin":9447,"position":2},"title":"Computer Science from the Bottom Up","author":"Leonid Mamchenkov","date":"January 11, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"Computer Science from the Bottom Up \u2014 A free, online book designed to teach computer science from the bottom end up. Topics covered include binary and binary logic, operating systems internals, toolchain fundamentals and system library fundamentals.","rel":"","context":"In &quot;All&quot;","block_context":{"text":"All","link":"https:\/\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/category\/general\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":7602,"url":"https:\/\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/2004\/06\/24\/software-horror-stories\/","url_meta":{"origin":9447,"position":3},"title":"Software horror stories","author":"Leonid Mamchenkov","date":"June 24, 2004","format":false,"excerpt":"All sorts of computing systems are all around us. All of these systems use some kind of software to operate. Software is written by humans. Humans make mistakes. These mistakes cause some real trouble onto other humans. Some examples of such troubles are listed at \"Software Horror Stories\" website. 94.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;All&quot;","block_context":{"text":"All","link":"https:\/\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/category\/general\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":9322,"url":"https:\/\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/2005\/08\/10\/daily-del-icio-us-bookmarks\/","url_meta":{"origin":9447,"position":4},"title":"Daily del.icio.us bookmarks","author":"Leonid Mamchenkov","date":"August 10, 2005","format":false,"excerpt":"I think that I should spice up a bit these long lists of links. I'll be adding some comments once in a while for this posts to be more human friendly. Those posts with a lot of links (lik this one) will be split into a introductory part and the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;All&quot;","block_context":{"text":"All","link":"https:\/\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/category\/general\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":26228,"url":"https:\/\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/2016\/07\/11\/logic-gates-visual\/","url_meta":{"origin":9447,"position":5},"title":"Logic gates visual","author":"Leonid Mamchenkov","date":"July 11, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"In all the years dealing with logic gates and Boolean algebra, I don't think I've ever seen a clearer visual representation than this: Got it from Facebook. If you know who is the author, please ping me.","rel":"","context":"In &quot;All&quot;","block_context":{"text":"All","link":"https:\/\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/category\/general\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"logic gates visual","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/07\/logic-gates-visual-500x250.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9447","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9447"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9447\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9447"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9447"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9447"},{"taxonomy":"keyring_services","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/keyring_services?post=9447"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}