{"id":27634,"date":"2017-05-28T13:35:34","date_gmt":"2017-05-28T11:35:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/?p=27634"},"modified":"2017-05-28T13:37:37","modified_gmt":"2017-05-28T11:37:37","slug":"swag-estimations","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/2017\/05\/28\/swag-estimations\/","title":{"rendered":"SWAG estimations"},"content":{"rendered":"<!-- google_ad_section_start -->\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/donkey.jpg?ssl=1\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"27635\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/2017\/05\/28\/swag-estimations\/shrek-donkey\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/donkey.jpg?fit=629%2C420&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"629,420\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;Caters News Agency&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;PIC BY MICK GALLAGHER \/ CATERS NEWS - (Pictured A Wild Burro in Red Rock Canyon National Conservation Area) Whats so funny? This mule clearly found something hilari-ASS when he got up close to one photographer. The wild burro - which bears a striking similarity to Donkey from the Shrek movies - was captured on camera by wildlife photographer Mick Gallagher - who spent months trying to get close to the group. And when one animal finally decided to pose for the camera, it seems he found something to smile about - with hilarious results. Mick, 42, who has been working as a professional photographer after he was made redundant from his marketing job during the economic downturn, has tried to build a bond with the animals, which roam in the Red Rock Conservation Area, Nevada. SEE CATERS COPY.&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;1332288000&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;Caters News Agency Ltd&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;Shrek Donkey&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;1&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"Shrek Donkey\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"&lt;p&gt;PIC BY MICK GALLAGHER \/ CATERS NEWS &amp;#8211; (Pictured A Wild Burro in Red Rock Canyon National Conservation Area) Whats so funny? This mule clearly found something hilari-ASS when he got up close to one photographer. The wild burro &amp;#8211; which bears a striking similarity to Donkey from the Shrek movies &amp;#8211; was captured on camera by wildlife photographer Mick Gallagher &amp;#8211; who spent months trying to get close to the group. And when one animal finally decided to pose for the camera, it seems he found something to smile about &amp;#8211; with hilarious results. Mick, 42, who has been working as a professional photographer after he was made redundant from his marketing job during the economic downturn, has tried to build a bond with the animals, which roam in the Red Rock Conservation Area, Nevada. SEE CATERS COPY.&lt;\/p&gt;\n\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/donkey.jpg?fit=629%2C420&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-27635 size-medium\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/donkey-500x334.jpg?resize=500%2C334&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Donkey (PIC BY MICK GALLAGHER \/ CATERS NEWS)\" width=\"500\" height=\"334\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/donkey.jpg?resize=500%2C334&amp;ssl=1 500w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/donkey.jpg?w=629&amp;ssl=1 629w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Well, I didn&#8217;t know that I was a practitioner of <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Scientific_wild-ass_guess\">SWAG<\/a> estimations &#8230;<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><b>Scientific wild-ass guess<\/b> (<b>SWAG<\/b>) is <a class=\"mw-redirect mw-disambig\" title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/American_slang_(disambiguation)\">American slang<\/a> meaning a rough estimate made by an expert in the field, based on experience and intuition. It is similar to the slang word <i><a title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Guesstimate\">guesstimate<\/a><\/i>, a <a title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Portmanteau\">portmanteau<\/a> of <i>guess<\/i> and <i>estimate<\/i>.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<!-- google_ad_section_end -->\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<!-- google_ad_section_start -->\n<p>Well, I didn&#8217;t know that I was a practitioner of SWAG estimations &#8230; Scientific wild-ass guess (SWAG) is American slang meaning a rough estimate made by an expert in the field, based on experience and intuition. It is similar to the slang word guesstimate, a portmanteau of guess and estimate.<\/p>\n<!-- google_ad_section_end -->\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"SWAG estimations #ProjectManagement #humor","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[1,62],"tags":[2418,3178],"keyring_services":[],"class_list":["post-27634","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-general","category-technology","tag-humor","tag-project-management"],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO 4.9.8 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Well, I didn&#039;t know that I was a practitioner of SWAG estimations ... 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Scientific wild-ass guess (SWAG) is American slang meaning a rough estimate made by an expert in the field, based on experience and intuition. 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Excellent Quora thread with many solid examples and explanations. Developers are also the only group where they are asked to do something which has never been done before, and tell someone else how long it will take\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;All&quot;","block_context":{"text":"All","link":"https:\/\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/category\/general\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":29178,"url":"https:\/\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/2019\/01\/05\/guesstimate-a-spreadsheet-for-things-that-arent-certain\/","url_meta":{"origin":27634,"position":1},"title":"Guesstimate &#8211; a spreadsheet for things that aren\u2019t certain","author":"Leonid Mamchenkov","date":"January 5, 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Guesstimate is a spreadsheet for non-precise calculations (estimations and approximations). Watch a two-minute video on the homepage to get a better idea of how it works. While playing around with it and reading more on similar tools, I also found these two Wikipedia pages interesting: Monte Carlo methodFermi problem Very\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;All&quot;","block_context":{"text":"All","link":"https:\/\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/category\/general\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/guesstimate.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/guesstimate.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/guesstimate.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/guesstimate.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/guesstimate.png?resize=1050%2C600&ssl=1 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":9422,"url":"https:\/\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/2005\/09\/07\/car-status-update\/","url_meta":{"origin":27634,"position":2},"title":"Car status update","author":"Leonid Mamchenkov","date":"September 7, 2005","format":false,"excerpt":"I left my car in the garage yesterday for repairs. The mechanic wasn't there to give me the estimations, so I had to call back. I didn't catch him on the phone yesterday though. Today he told me that everything is going fine. The car should be ready by Friday.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;All&quot;","block_context":{"text":"All","link":"https:\/\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/category\/general\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":18348,"url":"https:\/\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/2013\/06\/11\/coding-fast-and-slow-developers-and-the-psychology-of-overconfidence\/","url_meta":{"origin":27634,"position":3},"title":"Coding, Fast and Slow: Developers and the Psychology of Overconfidence","author":"Leonid Mamchenkov","date":"June 11, 2013","format":"link","excerpt":"Coding, Fast and Slow: Developers and the Psychology of Overconfidence This is an excellent take on why (we the) developers suck at time estimations. \u00a0 Basically, it boils down to two reasons: unknown details of the project and overconfendence. First off, there are, I believe, really two reasons why we\u2019re\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;All&quot;","block_context":{"text":"All","link":"https:\/\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/category\/general\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":42584,"url":"https:\/\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/2019\/05\/03\/why-software-projects-take-longer-than-you-think-a-statistical-model\/","url_meta":{"origin":27634,"position":4},"title":"Why software projects take longer than you think \u2013 a statistical model","author":"Leonid Mamchenkov","date":"May 3, 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"\"Why software projects take longer than you think \u2013 a statistical model\" is an interesting take on the problem of bad estimations in software projects. I'm not that great with math, but even then the article is very interesting. And there is a lot that I agree with. https:\/\/twitter.com\/fulhack\/status\/1103871565685391360 Here's\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;All&quot;","block_context":{"text":"All","link":"https:\/\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/category\/general\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/scatter.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/scatter.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/scatter.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/scatter.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":8952,"url":"https:\/\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/2005\/05\/09\/to-get-your-leg-over\/","url_meta":{"origin":27634,"position":5},"title":"To get your leg over","author":"Leonid Mamchenkov","date":"May 9, 2005","format":false,"excerpt":"\"to get your leg over\" is an expression from US slang. It means \"to have sex\" and is usually used towards the man. I found the definition in the FreeSearch Dictionary.","rel":"","context":"In &quot;All&quot;","block_context":{"text":"All","link":"https:\/\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/category\/general\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27634","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=27634"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27634\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=27634"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=27634"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=27634"},{"taxonomy":"keyring_services","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mamchenkov.net\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/keyring_services?post=27634"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}